One big flaw in Wassup’s thinking is that he is one of the silent majority who will vote for McCain on election day. He thinks there are a lot of people who tell pollsters they will vote for Obama when they have no intention of doing so.
What Wassup does not take into account is the Reverse Bradley Effect. There are huge numbers of people in Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, North Carolina, etc… who would never admit to their friends that they secretly like Obama.
They will not send in money or wear a campaign button or put a bumper sticker on their 4-wheel drive pick-up, but when they go into that election booth, they will color-in the oval or punch the chad or push the button next to Obama’s name. They will express surprise and feign outrage when Obama wins but they will be smiling inside because they will know they voted in their best economic interest.
The good ole’ boys and rednecks and sportsmen and gun owners and agricultural workers and truck drivers and small-business owners who make less than a quarter-million per year will privately support Obama. Or their wives and girlfriends will, perhaps without admitting it to their husbands and boyfriends.
The church ladies and home-makers and social club members and hairdressers and manicurists and all their customers will talk about how they can’t possibly vote for a black man, but they will pull that lever for Obama, and then go home and hear their husbands tell them that they voted for McCain, when in truth and fact, the husbands voted for Obama too.
People who have no problem using the “N-word” and go around saying they would vote for Obama if he were only white, will privately and confidentially vote for Obama, and they will feel good about it. They will say “they can’t believe it” the day after the election, and they will wonder how Obama won their state when all of their friends and neighbors were in agreement that they were forced to vote for McCain because “we can’t elect a black man to be our President.”
I am still laying 4 to 1 odds that Obama will win this election and win the popular vote by a bigger margin than anyone in modern times. Any takers yet?